Tuesday, September 25, 2007

Growth Stock Valuation (September 25, 2007)

Growth Stocks such as Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG) have been doing well and have recently reached their 52 week or all time highs. But when are these growth stocks overvalued?

One rule of thumb that is very useful with stocks (especially growth stocks) is to use the PEG ratio, or the Forward Price Earnings ratio divided by the 5 year estimated growth. A PEG ratio over 2 is considered overvalued, and a PEG ratio under 1 is considered very cheap.

Table of Selected Growth Stocks

Here are a few growth stocks with different PEG ratios. Data from Yahoo Finance, Tuesday, September 25, 2007:





SymbolStock NamePEGForward PE5 yr growth
AMXAmerica Movil0.46 15.1232.65%
HRSHarris0.5615.1727%
TDGTransdigm Group0.6518.5828.50%
HANSHansen0.6625.7439.09%
WBDWimm Bill Dann0.6723.5335.00%
SNDAShanda Interactive0.7120.7329.39%
ABBABB0.7819.4325.00%
GOOGGoogle0.8729.1333.65%
CROXCrox0.9625.5526.57%
RIMMResearch in Motion1.1234.4630.82%
CSCOCisco1.1517.7315.43%
JSDAJones Soda1.1542.7737.07%
ISRGIntuitive Surgical1.3554.2040.05%
GMEGamestop1.4029.1020.75%
AAPLApple1.4634.6623.67%
BIDUBaidu1.4881.0654.60%
GRMNGarmin1.5630.1519.38%
NVTNavteq1.6939.8123.49%
YHOOYahoo1.9948.2024.19%
AMZNAmazon.com2.5960.7023.42%


Chart of Growth Stocks

Here's a Chart of the different growth stocks sorted by PEG. In the graph, PEG is multiplied by 20. So an adjusted PEG of 15 means PEG is 15/20 or 0.75:

No comments: