One way to create a diversified portfolio is to choose stocks from different sectors that follow these criteria:
- The stock is in a good sector.
- The stock is a good stock in a good sector.
- The stock has Reasonable Valuation:
a. PEG < 2.0 (Price-Earnings to Growth Ratio).
b. Forward PE < 40 - The stock shows Strength:
a. Stock is within reach of a 52 week high.
b. Stock is above the moving averages (200 day, and even 50 day moving average).
Here are a few suggestions that mostly fit the criteria above. One could create a portfolio by choosing a stock or a few stocks from each sector below.
A. Tech: Internet and Information
We are in the middle of a society changing Information Revolution, and the Internet plays a central role.
Symbol | Stock Name | PEG | Forward PE | 5 yr growth |
---|---|---|---|---|
GOOG | 0.91 | 31 | 33.88% |
B. Tech: Mobile Convergence and Mobile Devices
One of the major trends is the trend towards Mobile Convergence. Rather than have separate devices, such as a cell phone, a camera, and a music player, all these features are being integrated into a single mobile device. The Apple Iphone is a web browser, a music player, and a cell phone. Cell phones now come with cameras and music playing capabilities.
In addition, globalization is helping this sector out as international and emerging markets are adopting these mobile technologies in great numbers. One Indian person has even said that in India, even beggars have cell phones.
Symbol | Stock Name | PEG | Forward PE | 5 yr growth |
---|---|---|---|---|
AAPL | Apple | 1.66 | 37.52 | 22.63% |
RIMM | Research In Motion | 1.04 | 35.06 | 33.61% |
NOK | Nokia | 1.40 | 17.06 | 12.22% |
Aside from the Apple iphone, Apple (AAPL) has many other products as well such as the Apple iPod music player, and the Apple iMac computer.
Nokia (NOK), is also a play on Global Positioning as it is acquiring Digital Map Maker Navteq (NVT).
C. Tech: Networking/Digital TV/Telecom Equipment
Another trend is in the Network.
- There is a trend having greater Bandwidth for advanced services (for example, High Definition Video on Demand).
- There's the conversion of analog TV to digital TV. On February 2009, companies are supposed to stop broadcasting analog television, and are supposed to broadcast digitally.
- There is the Battle for the Digital Living Room. From IP Television (IPTV), to Digital TV, to High Definition TV sets, to Digital Video Recorder Technology (DVRs), to digital set-top boxes, to streaming content from computers to the big screen, the battle for the Digital Living Room is just beginning.
- The trend also includes wireless telecommunication systems that help bring advanced services (video on a cell phone) to mobile devices.
Symbol | Stock Name | PEG | Forward PE | 5 yr growth |
---|---|---|---|---|
CSCO | Cisco | 1.25 | 17.64 | 14.10% |
GLW | Corning | 0.95 | 15.80 | 16.57% |
NNDS | NDS Group | 0.69 | 16.39 | 23.75% |
HRS | Harris | 0.58 | 15.68 | 27.00% |
Cisco (CSCO) is the big company in Networking. They also have Set-Top Box exposure (access to the Digital Living Room) with their acquisition of Set Top Box maker Scientific Atlanta.
Corning (GLW) makes glass and equipment for higher bandwidth optical networking. They are also a play on the Digital Living Room as their products are needed by those who make flat panel displays and High Definition TVs.
NDS Group (NNDS) is the United Kingdom's version of the overhyped Chinese company China Digital TV (STV). The company engages in the supply of open end-to-end digital technology and services to digital pay-television platform operators and content providers worldwide. They even supply middleware and Digital Video Recorder Technologies, and Set-Top Boxes, and they support high definition TV.
Harris (HRS) is a company which operates in four main segments from Government Communication Systems, RF Communications, Broadcast Communications and wireless networking through Harris Stratex (HPTX). Their Broadcast Communications Group is involved Digital TV. They also benefit from a good win rate on government contracts.
D. Tech: GPS and Global Positioning
A major growth area in tech is in Global Positioning Technlogies. This technology is more than just turn by turn directions on a navigation device. In the future, as part of Mobile Convergence, GPS will be integrated into almost any device which can move, such as a cell phone.
Symbol | Stock Name | PEG | Forward PE | 5 yr growth |
---|---|---|---|---|
GRMN | Garmin | 1.44 | 28.06 | 19.53% |
TRMB | Trimble | 1.86 | 28.94 | 15.60% |
SIRF | Sirf Technologies | 0.77 | 20.44 | 26.62% |
Garmin (GRMN) mainly makes Global Positioning Devices. They are big in the car navigation and aeroplane navigation market. Recent concerns include the intended acquisition of their Digital Map Supplier Navteq (NVT) by Nokia (NOK).
Trimble Navigation (TRMB) makes GPS products. They are also a unique play on the good Agriculture market, as they even have GPS equipment for farm equipment and tractors.
Sirf Technologies (SIRF) makes GPS semiconductors. Their chips are finding their way into devices such as cell phones.
E. Tech/Consumer Discretionary: Computer, Video and Online Gaming
The strong Gaming cycle is continuing as three major console makers (Nintendo, Microsoft and Sony) have released major consoles.
There are also up and coming new trends such as online gaming, especially in East Asia (China).
Symbol | Stock Name | PEG | Forward PE | 5 yr growth |
---|---|---|---|---|
GME | Gamestop | 1.36 | 28.92 | 21.22% |
SNDA | Shanda Interactive | 0.64 | 21.26 | 33.26% |
Gamestop (GME) is the premiere gaming retailer. Why choose the winner of the console or software maker war when you can buy the retailer who sells all these products.
Shanda Interactive (SNDA) together with The9 Limited (NCTY) are dominant Chinese Online Gaming companies poised for great growth.
F. Energy: Oil and Oil Services.
Energy and Oil remain strong sectors. There's great demand as countries all over the world, especially the emerging market countries, need oil. Supply is limited as well, and harder to come by.
Symbol | Stock Name | PEG | Forward PE | 5 yr growth |
---|---|---|---|---|
COP | Conoco Philips | 0.93 | 9.19 | 9.92% |
NOV | National Oilwell Varco | 0.60 | 17.89 | 29.67% |
Conoco Philips (COP) is an integrated oil company, while National Oilwell Varco (NOV) is an Oil Services and Equipment Company, and operates three segments: Rig Technology, Petroleum Services and Distribution Services.
G. Energy: Coal
Energy sources such as oil are in great demand. Coal, a very inexpensive fossil fuel, benefits from the great demand in energy.
Symbol | Stock Name | PEG | Forward PE | 5 yr growth |
---|---|---|---|---|
BTU | Peabody Energy | 0.93 | 9.19 | 9.92% |
H. Materials
Freeport McMoran (FCX) is a gold and copper company, and both are needed by rapidly growing emerging market countries such as China.
Precision Castparts (PCP) manufactures metal components used in the aerospace, power generation, general industrial, and automotive markets. There's a bull market in aerospace and infrastructure, and Precision Castparts benefits.
Symbol | Stock Name | PEG | Forward PE | 5 yr growth |
---|---|---|---|---|
FCX | Freeport McMoran | 0.98 | 10.82 | 11.00% |
PCP | Precision Castparts | 0.85 | 18.13 | 21.23% |
I. Agriculture
There's a Bull market in agriculture, thanks to an influential US Farm Bill in 2002.
Monsanto (MON) makes seeds, including very specialized and drought resistant seeds. Deere (DE) makes agricultural equipment. Trimble Navigation (TRMB) is also an unusual play on agriculture as they provide GPS products to many places, including tractors and the agriculture industry.
Symbol | Stock Name | PEG | Forward PE | 5 yr growth |
---|---|---|---|---|
MON | Monsanto | 0.95 | 29.53 | 30.93% |
DE | Deere | 1.75 | 16.21 | 9.25% |
J. Aerospace and Defense
There's a Bull market in Aerospace and Defense thanks to the aeroplane replacement cycle. Many of the older planes have to be replaced.
Boeing (BA) makes airplanes and is a better play than competitor Airbus. Transdigm Group (TDG) is a $2B company that supplies parts to the Aerospace industry. Lockheed Martin (LMT) is a defense contractor that makes many defense products, including military aircraft.
Symbol | Stock Name | PEG | Forward PE | 5 yr growth |
---|---|---|---|---|
BA | Boeing | 1.08 | 15.86 | 14.70% |
TDG | Transdigm Group | 0.64 | 18.24 | 28.50% |
LMT | Lockheed Martin | 1.33 | 15.31 | 11.52% |
K. Infrastructure
With great global growth comes a great need for Infrastructure.
Symbol | Stock Name | PEG | Forward PE | 5 yr growth |
---|---|---|---|---|
ABB | ABB Limited | 0.83 | 20.63 | 25.00% |
MDR | McDermott | 1.38 | 22.01 | 16.00% |
L. Telecom: Emerging Market Wireless Telecom
Emerging Markets are using wireless products in large numbers. Many emerging countries have low wireless penetration so there is even more room to grow.
Symbol | Stock Name | PEG | Forward PE | 5 yr growth |
---|---|---|---|---|
AMX | America Movil | 0.49 | 15.89 | 32.65% |
VIP | Vimpel Communications | 0.75 | 17.49 | 23.37% |
CHL | China Mobile | 0.98 | 24.66 | 25.14% |
M. Financials
Goldman Sachs (GS) is the premier brokerage company, the gold standard.
Hudson City Bank (HCBK) is a fast growing regional bank that has very little exposure to the subprime problems, and some have speculated that along with other Northeastern banks, could be taken over by Canadian banks and other companies.
Symbol | Stock Name | PEG | Forward PE | 5 yr growth |
---|---|---|---|---|
GS | Goldman Sachs | 0.76 | 9.91 | 13.12% |
HCBK | Hudson City Bank | 1.09 | 18.73 | 17.15% |
N. Asset Management Companies
Everyone is looking for the next Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Warren Buffett's company.
One very good company in the mold of Berkshire Hathaway is the cash rich Leucadia (LUK), run for many years by super investors Ian Cumming and Joseph Steinberg.
Carl Icahn, another superinvestor, gives us Carl Icahn Enterprises (IEP), (Formerly American Real Estate partners (ACP)) and offers investors a way to invest with this great activist investor. Watch out for guru investors with a lot of cash to use.
Symbol | Stock Name | PEG | Forward PE | 5 yr growth |
---|---|---|---|---|
LUK | Leucadia | N/A | N/A | N/A |
IEP | Carl Icahn Enterprise | N/A | N/A | N/A |
O. Consumer Staples
Symbol | Stock Name | PEG | Forward PE | 5 yr growth |
---|---|---|---|---|
PG | Procter and Gamble | 1.60 | 18.07 | 11.31% |
UL | Unilever | 0.96 | 15.34 | 16.00% |
P. Consumer Staples: Drinks and Beverages
Hansen (HANS) is a fast growing beverage company specializing in Energy Drinks.
Central European Distribution (CEDC) is a Polish drink and Vodka producer.
Symbol | Stock Name | PEG | Forward PE | 5 yr growth |
---|---|---|---|---|
PEP | Pepsi | 1.74 | 19.22 | 11.03% |
HANS | Hansen Natural | 0.76 | 30.06 | 39.63% |
CEDC | Central European Distribution | 1.29 | 22.52 | 17.50% |
Q. Consumer Discretionary: Gambling Equipment
Scientific Games (SGMS) makes equipment for Lotteries, Printed Products, and Diversified Gaming. Some say this is a recession proof stock.
International Game Technology (IGT) makes Gaming Equipment for Casinos.
Symbol | Stock Name | PEG | Forward PE | 5 yr growth |
---|---|---|---|---|
SGMS | Scientific Games | 1.06 | 23.94 | 22.66% |
IGT | International Game Technology | 1.69 | 25.36 | 17.20% |
R. Industrials
Symbol | Stock Name | PEG | Forward PE | 5 yr growth |
---|---|---|---|---|
GE | General Electric | 1.47 | 16.31 | 11.09% |
UTX | United Technologies | 1.40 | 16.39 | 11.72% |
S. Healthcare
Symbol | Stock Name | PEG | Forward PE | 5 yr growth |
---|---|---|---|---|
GILD | Gilead | 1.35 | 23.30 | 17.20% |
1 comment:
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