Right now, the S&P 500 has support at 1270, and resistance at around the 1330-1340 level (based on 50% retracement, as well as other resistance levels). The market, currently at 1329 on the S&P 500, is also very near the 50 day moving average, which is currently at 1345.
If the S&P 500 tests resistance and fails, we could potentially re-test 1270 on the downside, and possibly breakdown some more, as we speculated.
However, if the market can sustain some strong days and have good follow through, breaking through the 1330-1340 levels, and break through the 50 day moving average, we have a chance for a good rally.
But the trend would still be down (based on the S&P 500 remaining below the 200 day moving average) and I don't think there is enough strength to break above the 200 day moving average right now.
Here are two Previous Charts on Resistance Levels (2 weeks ago):
Today's Chart
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